How often do PrizePicks goblins hit?
Goblin overs hit 64.4% of the time across 15,272 graded NBA lines in our record. That is above the standard rate, as you would expect from a lower line, but a goblin also pays less, so the hit rate alone does not tell you what it is worth.

| Market | Goblin | Standard | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 64.1% | 43.9% | 2,345 |
| Pts+Rebs | 64.2% | 46.0% | 2,159 |
| Pts+Rebs+Asts | 62.5% | 44.4% | 1,926 |
| Pts+Asts | 63.6% | 46.2% | 1,638 |
| Rebounds | 69.9% | 47.9% | 1,469 |
| Rebs+Asts | 65.6% | 49.7% | 1,420 |
| Assists | 68.6% | 44.8% | 931 |
| 3-PT Made | 66.1% | 53.9% | 696 |
| Blks+Stls | 65.6% | 50.4% | 569 |
| Steals | 67.0% | 50.0% | 509 |
NBA games from 2026-10-28 to 2026-11-02. Pushes excluded. All hit rates
We compare the last line before the start with the final stat in the official box score, and leave out pushes, pulled lines and players who did not play. The sample is short, so expect these numbers to change. This is information, not betting advice.
Graded rows
curl "https://prizepicksapi.com/api/v1/results?league=NBA&status=graded&limit=100" \
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Independent data service, not affiliated with PrizePicks. Information only, not betting advice.