Do goblins or demons hit more often?
On our graded NBA record, goblin lines go over 64.4% of the time and demon lines 20.3%, against 45.6% for standard. Goblin and demon lines are more-only, so the tier changes the number, not the sides you can pick.

| Tier | Over rate | Over | Under | Push |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 45.6% | 3,375 | 4,030 | 241 |
| Goblin | 64.4% | 9,835 | 5,437 | 0 |
| Demon | 20.3% | 4,547 | 17,902 | 1 |
NBA games from 2026-10-28 to 2026-11-02. By market and player
These are over rates on a short, growing sample, not an edge: the payout multiplier offsets the easier or harder line, and the board does not publish it. This is information, not betting advice.
Hit rate by tier
curl "https://prizepicksapi.com/api/v1/hit-rates?player=Jayson%20Tatum&tier=all" \
-H "Authorization: Bearer $PRIZEPICKS_API_KEY"Go further
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